Thread: nCoV 2019
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Old 3rd March 2020, 13:03     #89
Cyberbob
 
It's not "Bring Out Yer Dead", but it's got a few things going for it and against it:
  • Seasonal flu kills loads of people as it is, but only kills about 0.1% of those infected.
  • Infection/Mortality rates are being reported as being far higher in Covid-19, about 2%, but reporting right now is notoriously unreliable. You're only really hearing about those extreme cases.
  • If typical infection rates grow to seasonal flu levels, then you're in for a world of hurt with that mortality. Spanish Flu was 2%.
On the other side of the coin:
  • People are super aware of it, and are likely to be more vigilant than usual.
  • More than 80% of cases are elderly over 60 years old, and more than 75% had underlying diseases present such as cardiovascular and cardiovascular diseases, diabetes and, in some cases, tumor.

In conclusion: it's too early to make conclusive statements.
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Last edited by Cyberbob : 3rd March 2020 at 13:05.
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